Bryan's been pretty off the last 3 seasons, if only because they've been filled with crazy anomalies and he keeps having to look at medium range and long range forecasts a week to two weeks out. He does a pretty good job with most of the models, and lets you know when one's looking pretty crazy. Yeah, he's optimistic, and he posts snowfall predictions with higher-end sort of numbers (because that's what the models usually spit out), but if you go back to 2010 and 2011 when he was running TWD he was so on point just about every day.
I blame the really weird winters Tahoe has had the last three years more than Bryan. His predictions are pretty well in line with almost anything you'll get elsewhere.
Besides, I wouldn't ever take any forecast from anybody straight up, especially when they are so dependent on computer models these days. It's the weather. It's still one of the hardest things to predict on this planet. I mean, we can predict the sex of a human in womb 5 months out, but weather? 5 days out is a stretch in some circumstances.
I'm expecting to see half a foot on the hills out of this thing. It won't be the crazy 3 foot storm that the Canadian model is predicting. I mean, he threw that one out as a huge outlier anyways the other day.