Snow Watch 06/07

I hope to hit stevens on friday. Only thing is I got some stupid ass presentation on friday i think, not positive tho. I am def gonna try and move up til thur even tho i havent started on the damn thing.
 
supposed to get several more inches tonight before it turns to rain, so i guess it isnt a disaster, then itll turn back. which is good.

Look at the size of those snowbanks already! wicked cool.

And it looks like theyre farming snow at stevens or something, cool
 
I hope someone else is online besides me and is appreciating the beauty of the stevens cam right now. The sun glazing across the snow.... mmmmmmm

I hate being in the office on days like these.
 
Yes I amin Didgital Photo such a worthless class, and have been watching the web cam too. and it looks like stevens have been getting the cat fleet out.
 
fuck.. i move to california and of course the northwest opens before thanksgiving.. Well i enjoy sand between my thighs anyday before snow down my pants.
 
sand? fuck sand

wednsday doenst look terrible anymore, and i'm not too worried about saturday either. these are some crazy unstable snow levels though, its really weird. regardless, i really dont care if it rains now and then as long as we keep getting snow and our resorts stay open all season.
 
Check it out we are going to get dumped on thursday.

WEATHER SYNOPSIS FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY

Following passage of a moderate to strong upper trough late

Monday that brought further moderate to heavy snow

accumulations to most higher elevation mountain locations, a

gradually and briefly decreasing west to northwesterly upper

flow produced decreasing showers Tuesday morning. Scattered

light showers should continue to diminish Tuesday afternoon

along with some partial clearing in the south-central

Cascades as orographic flow and low level moisture

decreases. However, ongoing moderate west to southwesterly

flow around a very deep upper low in the northern Gulf of

Alaska should continue to circulate substantial moisture

over much of south-central BC Tuesday, and as this moisture

sags slightly southward Tuesday afternoon, gradually

lowering clouds should reach the Olympics and northern

Washington Cascades later Tuesday afternoon. Sagging

moisture from the northern disturbances should combine with

incoming moisture from the next strong disturbance to

produce further increasing clouds and some light rain or

snow in the Olympics and northern Washington Cascades late

Tuesday afternoon and night. This should be accompanied by

gradually increasing ridgetop winds and slowly rising

freezing levels overnight.

By Wednesday morning, more significant effects from the next

strong weather system should become apparent as increasing

moderate rain or snow spreads southward along the

substantially rising freezing levels and further

strengthening winds. Heavy rain or snow, very strong winds

and briefly high freezing levels are expected late Wednesday

morning and afternoon before the front moves east of the

Cascades mid-late Wednesday afternoon. While some insulation

is expected from the warming aloft by a strengthening and

cool easterly surface flow through the Cascade passes late

Tuesday through early Wednesday afternoon, a wind shift to

briefly warmer westerly is likely mid-late Wednesday

afternoon, with snow briefly changing to rain below about 5

to 6000 feet in the central Cascades before cooler air

arrives Wednesday evening. As the front slowly exits the

region late Wednesday afternoon and evening, steady rain or

snow should be replaced by moderate to heavy showers.

Moderate orographic snowfall is likely in most areas near

and west of the Cascade crest and along the west slopes of

the Olympics behind the front Wednesday night as the upper

trough moves over the area.

&&

WEATHER FORECAST FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY

* OLYMPICS-

Mostly cloudy Tuesday afternoon with light showers

increasing late Tuesday afternoon. Occasional light rain

or snow increasing late Tuesday night. Light to moderate

rain or snow increasing and becoming moderate to heavy

Wednesday morning. Heavy rain or snow later Wednesday

morning through early Wednesday afternoon, especially

south and southwest slopes. Cooler with rain or snow

decreasing and becoming more showery mid-late Wednesday

afternoon. Moderate to heavy snow or snow showers

Wednesday night, heaviest west slopes.

* WASHINGTON CASCADES NEAR AND WEST OF THE CREST FROM MT

RAINIER NORTHWARD-

Partly cloudy extreme south Tuesday afternoon, but

mostly cloudy north and central with a chance of showers.

Occasional light rain or snow increasing north Tuesday

night with increasing clouds and occasional light snow

developing central Cascades late Tuesday night.

Increasing clouds and increasing light to moderate rain

or snow spreading southward early Wednesday. Moderate to

heavy rain or snow north and increasing light to moderate

rain or snow south later Wednesday morning. Periods of

heavy rain or snow mid-day and Wednesday afternoon,

decreasing and becoming more showery and mostly snow late

Wednesday afternoon and evening. Moderate to heavy snow

showers Wednesday night.

* WASHINGTON CASCADES NEAR AND WEST OF THE CREST SOUTH OF

MT RAINIER-

Partly cloudy Tuesday afternoon. Mostly cloudy Tuesday

night with occasional light rain or snow developing late

Tuesday night or early Wednesday. Increasing light to

moderate rain or snow spreading southward early

Wednesday. Light to moderate rain or snow increasing

later Wednesday morning becoming moderate to heavy mid-

day and Wednesday afternoon. Precipitation decreasing and

becoming more showery and mostly snow Wednesday evening.

Moderate to heavy snow showers Wednesday night.

* CASCADE PASSES, INCLUDING STEVENS, SNOQUALMIE AND WHITE

PASSES-

Mostly cloudy north and central Tuesday afternoon but

partly cloudy. Clouds lowering in the north late Tuesday

with a chance of showers. Occasional light snow

increasing north Tuesday night with increasing clouds and

occasional light snow developing central Cascades late

Tuesday night. Increasing clouds and increasing light to

moderate snow spreading southward early Wednesday.

Moderate to heavy snow north and increasing light to

moderate snow south later Wednesday morning. Periods of

heavy snow mid-day and early Wednesday afternoon becoming

rain or mixed rain and snow during the afternoon. Rain or

snow decreasing and becoming more showery and mostly snow

late Wednesday afternoon and evening. Moderate to heavy

snow showers Wednesday night.

* EAST SLOPES WASHINGTON CASCADES-

Partly cloudy south Tuesday afternoon, but increasing

clouds north with a chance of showers, mainly higher

terrain near the crest late Tuesday afternoon. Occasional

light snow increasing higher terrain in the north Tuesday

night with increasing clouds and occasional light snow or

snow showers developing central Cascades late Tuesday

night. Increasing clouds and increasing light to moderate

snow spreading southward early Wednesday. Moderate snow

north and increasing light to moderate snow south later

Wednesday morning. Moderate to briefly heavy snow mid-day

and early Wednesday afternoon becoming rain or mixed rain

and snow later Wednesday afternoon. Rain or snow

decreasing and becoming more showery and mostly snow late

Wednesday afternoon north and Wednesday evening south.

Moderate snow showers Wednesday night, mainly higher

terrain near the crest with light showers and partial

clearing lower elevations.

* MT HOOD AREA-

Partly cloudy Tuesday afternoon and evening. Occasional

light rain or snow developing late Tuesday night and

early Wednesday, increasing Wednesday morning and

becoming moderate later Wednesday morning. Moderate to

heavy rain or snow mid-day and Wednesday afternoon,

decreasing and becoming more showery and mostly snow

Wednesday evening. Moderate to heavy snow showers

Wednesday night.

&&

SNOW LEVELS-CASCADE MTNS

2500 ft N, 4500 ft S Tuesday night

3000 ft N, 6500 ft C, 7000 ft S Wednesday morning

6000 ft N, 7500 ft C, 8500 ft S mid-day

5500 ft N, 6000 ft C, 7500 ft S Wednesday afternoon

2000 ft N, 2500 ft C, 3500 ft S Wednesday night

1500 ft N, 2500 ft C, 3000 ft S late Wednesday night,

except snow levels lowering to near the surface Cascade

passes and east slopes late Tuesday, rising to near free

air levels mid-late Wednesday afternoon

SNOW LEVELS-OLYMPIC MTNS

3000 ft Tuesday afternoon and night

7500 ft Wednesday morning

7000 ft mid-day and early Wednesday afternoon

2500 ft mid-late Wednesday afternoon

1500 ft Wednesday night

Cascade Snow/Freezing Levels refer to the northern Washington Cascades

(N) through Mt Hood area (S). Central Washington Cascade snow levels

(typically near Snoqualmie Pass) are normally midway between indicated N

and S levels. Note that surface snow/freezing levels are common near

the passes during easterly pass flow and may result in multiple

snow/freezing levels.

&&

24 HOUR FORECAST OF PRECIPITATION IN INCHES OF WATER

EQUIVALENT ENDING AT 4AM

WED THU

* HURRICANE RIDGE .25 1-1.5

* MT BAKER .25 2-3

* WASHINGTON PASS LT .25 .75

* STEVENS PASS LT .25 1-1.5

* SNOQUALMIE PASS LT .25 1.5

* MISSION RIDGE LT .25 .75

* CRYSTAL MTN LT .10 2

* PARADISE LT .25 2

* WHITE PASS LT .10 1-1.5

* MT HOOD LT .10 1.5-2

[LT = less than]

&&

WINDS IN MILES PER HOUR (MPH)

* CASCADE PASS LEVEL WINDS

Variable 0-10 early Tuesday afternoon

E 0-10 later Tuesday afternoon

E 5-15 Tuesday night

E 10-20 Wednesday morning

E 15-25 later Wednesday morning and mid-day

E 10-15 early Wednesday afternoon

W 5-15 mid-late Wednesday afternoon

W 10-20 with higher gusts Wednesday night

* FREE WINDS AT 5000 FT

SW 10-20 Cascades, 15-30 Olympics Tuesday afternoon

SW 20-40 Cascades, 30-50 Olympics Tuesday night

S-SW 30-45 Cascades, 40-60 Olympics Wednesday morning

S-SW 40-60 Cascades, 50-70 Olympics mid-day and early

Wednesday afternoon

S-SW 30-45 Cascades, W 30-45 Olympics later Wednesday

afternoon

W 15-30 Wednesday night

* FREE WINDS AT 9000 FT

W-SW 15-30 N, 15-25 S Tuesday afternoon

SW 30-50 N and Olympics, 20-40 S Tuesday night

W-SW 40-60 N, 30-50 S early Wednesday morning

W-SW 60-80 N, 40-60 S later Wednesday morning

W-SW 60-80 N and S mid-day and Wednesday afternoon

W 25-40 N, 40-60 S Wednesday night

W 30-50 N and S early Thursday

&&

EXTENDED WEATHER SYNOPSIS FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Behind the trough Wednesday night a weak to moderate west to

southwesterly flow should continue around the slightly

filling upper low to maintain a cool and intermittently

moist west to southwesterly flow over the region Thursday,

especially in the northern Washington Cascades and Olympics

which is most likely to be brushed by stronger disturbances

moving by mainly to the north. This should produce periods

of light to moderate snow in the north and generally lighter

snow or snow showers in the south along with some partial

clearing. Slightly stronger weather systems moving by to the

north should produce generally increasing snow or snow

showers in the north-central Washington Cascades and

Olympics late Thursday and early Friday and again later

Friday and early Saturday along with a lesser increase in

light to moderate showers in the south-central Washington

Cascades and Mt Hood area. The next strong weather system

now appear likely to begin affecting the region later

Saturday into Sunday, when moderate to heavy rain or snow,

strong winds and rising freezing levels are likely.

Fortunately, this warming looks rather short lived with a

return to a significantly cooler and still moist westerly

flow likely early next week.

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Periods of light to moderate snow or snow showers north-

central Cascades and Olympics Thursday and Friday,

especially late Thursday through early Friday and again

later Friday into early Saturday. Otherwise partly to mostly

cloudy south with light to occasionally moderate showers,

mainly late Thursday through early Friday and again later

Friday into early Saturday. Gradual warming with increasing

winds and increasing light to moderate rain or snow

spreading southward late Saturday. Moderate rain or snow

north with increasing light to moderate rain or snow south

Saturday night into early Sunday.

* SNOW LEVELS

1500-3000 ft N, 2-4000 ft S Thursday

2-4000 ft N, 3-5000 ft S Friday

3-4500 ft N, 4-5000 ft S Saturday

3-5000 ft N and S late Saturday, rising on Sunday
 
I'm thinking Thursday at Crystal will be so-so in terms of snow. Weekend could be pretty amazing though, but yeah, I agree with Andy, fucking rediculously unpredictable weather around here....
 
still got another warm front movin in on sunday :(

Saturday... Rain and snow. Snow level 3500 feet.

Saturday night... Rain and snow. Snow level 4500 feet.

Sunday... Rain or snow likely. Snow level 5000 feet.

Sunday night... Rain or snow. Snow level 5500 feet.

Monday... Showers. Snow level 2500 feet.
 
This happened last December to some degree. We got a base (more than we do now of course) but then we got some really warm systems that brought some rain to the mountains (remember the 27 consecutive days of rain?) and freezing rain and shit. Its only november, so Im not surprised. But it would be nice if the systems would produce snow.
 
jeaaaa, stevens on friday! crystal would be siick, they said they are gonna open high campbell friday, too bad i gotta work at 5. cant justify the drive...
 
i guess i just have the image of high campbell last opening weekend, when it was freshies to the max. i forget what the base was though
 
If they open that chair tomorrow, Crystal if officially insane. All of that 'fresh snow' got rained on, at every elevation, so now its just impenetrable ice with tons of frozen cookies. I was looking up from Forest Queen today, and the amount of rocks up there is.... high. Very high. Ski patrol were going up the chair today, but that shit is going to suck sooooo bad tomorrow.
 
I'm sleeping in, then to a few bars that night to celebrate my friends 21st and then going home to get smashed and have a real party in his honor. I'm not skiing until we get more snow.
 
Thanksgiving weekend is looking alright... hope it doesnt warm up any more. We could be skiing some pow that day...
 
from baker site...

Well the system that hit us with warm temps and precip today IS GONE! The COLD FRONT moved in on its heels and as of late this afternoon it has been SNOWING ALL THE WAY DOWN BELOW WHITE SALMON.

LOTS OF SNOW IN THE FORECAST: The forecasts are looking promising for this cooling pattern to stick around all week with the freezing level down around 2,000 feet. We are expecting 2 - 4 inches of NEW SNOW by Monday morning. For Tuesday, another 5 - 10 inches of new snow is in the forecast and then another 5 - 10 inches is expected Wednesday with still more snowfall expected Thursday and through the weekend.

In the next week we are looking at 20 to 40 INCHES OF FRESH SNOW. This new snow combined with the great snow coverage we already have should make for some FUN SKIING AND RIDING THIS COMING THANKSGIVING WEEK.

 
I can no longer go tues... I didn't get my project done in time to turn it in today... :( and I work 55 hours this week as well as going to the Alice in Chains concert so I'm very busy this week... just dreaming of snow for me...
 
maybe, got to find someone to carpool with cause: A. im too cheap to pay for all the gas, B. it can be tough to stay awake on the ride home withoutsomeone to talk to, and i don't want to sit in i a car alone for 2 hours at a time.
 
First day of the season tommorow hope we get some of the snow there talking about. I'll be in the upper lot at stevens palyin with the dog.

Here we go!!!
 
i was wondering the same thing. At this rate, with the cold forecast :), could mean for just some amazing times when the backside opens. Ill be there... regardless of the day.

it was super good today, tomorrow should be super swell as well
 
why did i have to visit relatives in cali this thanksgiving....god damn, im missin the first pow of the season, fuckin ay. least ill be up sunday
 
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