Winter predictions are out.

JeremyClarkson

Active member
here we go again. another round of false hope and lies. lets just hope for the best.

http://www.accuweather.com/news-weather-features.asp?#extremes

Bastardi predicts the current El Niño will fade over the winter and will probably not play as much of a role in the overall weather pattern as one would think during a typical El Niño year.

The areas that will be hit hardest this winter by cold, snowy weather will be from New England through the Appalachians and mid-Atlantic, including North Carolina. Areas from New York City to Raleigh have gotten by the past two years with very little snowfall. This year these areas could end up with above-normal snowfall.

Click on image for larger image.

While some parts of the Appalachians did have harsh winter weather in the form of ice last year, this winter could be one of the snowiest since 2002-03, when up to 80 inches fell in many places. Snowfall totals this year could reach between 50 and 100 inches. Last winter, the usage of salt was way up due to the number of ice storms. Salt supplies could be compromised again this year for state and local road crews that battle the winter weather. On the other hand, ski resorts could have a great year with plenty of powder for skiers.

Bastardi adds that the overall weather pattern that has prevailed this summer is pointing to a winter very similar to that of 2002-03, when major cities on the East Coast had above-average snowfall. Expert Senior Meteorologist Henry Margusity points out that in February of 2003, a major snowstorm paralyzed much of the Interstate 95 corridor, including New York City and Philadelphia. During the storm, airports were closed, roads were impassable, roofs collapsed and some schools were closed for a week, causing summer vacations to start late.

The storm track that could develop this year will bring storms up the Eastern Seaboard. This type of storm track will differ from that of the past two years, when storms tended to take a track farther west from Texas into the Great Lakes. That track into the Great Lakes brought unseasonably mild weather to the major East Coast cities, keeping them on the more rainy side of the storms. The track this year right along the Eastern Seaboard would put the major cities on the cold, wintry side of the storms.

A colder, snowier winter would mean an increase in energy bills, added snow removal efforts, more travel delays and extended school closures.

The Midwest and central Plains, which have been hit hard the past two winters, may end up with a lack of snowfall this year. Places like Chicago, Omaha, Minneapolis and Kansas City may have below-normal snowfall and could even average a bit milder than past years.

A warm and somewhat dry weather pattern is expected from the Pacific Northwest into the northern Plains. The typical barrage of winter storms that hit Seattle and Portland may not occur this winter and lead to below-normal precipitation.

The below-normal precipitation predicted for the Pacific Northwest could have "extended and severe ramifications" on the economy in a region that relies heavily on winter precipitation, according to Expert Senior Meteorologist Ken Reeves.

"A less stormy track through the Pacific Northwest, while on the surface may seem like a good thing, it is actually the opposite," Reeves said. "Winter snows supply water to the region throughout the year and also supply a significant portion of their power needs. About 70 percent of electric power generation in the Northwest comes from hydro sources."

The Olympics in Vancouver, British Columbia, from Feb. 12 to 28 could be impacted by the lack of snow and cold weather this winter.

A storm track into California and the Southwest means near-normal rainfall for Southern California. While some people across Southern California fear the El Niño will bring harsh storms to the region, the fading of the El Niño will lessen that risk and provide near-normal rainfall.
 
ill be honest i didnt feel like reading much of the writing but did see the picture. just wondering, are these things ever really accurate?
 
winter09-10.jpg


I have seen that same shitty graphic for the last 2-3 years, it never is accurate. The east allways has a shit year and the pnw usually has a pretty good one.

Remember 98.99 was el nino too.
 
If what NS has been saying is totally wrong I will be more than stoked because we need a ton of snow here in CA. I want some epic pow days and we are in a huge fucking drought, but I guess a state that is half desert shouldn't be home to 37million+ people.
 
did they predict that it will snow this winter?!wow, they're good! this shit happens every year....
 
I don't get this comment whatsoever, it seems extremely stupid, sorry man, I think you were a little ignorant of what the post was about. They are predicting how much snow will fall in some areas and how the temperature and climate will be a little different.
 
i still call shennanigans on long-term weather predictions, they cant predict weather on weekbases properly and theyre still not completely sure about global warming/ice age during the coming years/centuries, do you honestly believe that weather predictions for the coming months is going to be accurate?

 
if im not mistaken, didnt the east get a pretty crazy year last year, at least early on? i remember the NE had a lot more snow than CO early on
on a side note i spent 30 minutes in the bookstore today trying to find a farmer's almanac but it was fruitless...i really dont know how accurate any of the predictions can really be. and i dont really understand what they mean when they say "warmer and drier" without reallllllly qualifying it all that much, it all seems pretty relative to me
like, colorado has been pretty great the last 2-3 years at least, do they mean it's going to be more of an "average" year? i mean, it might be a little less, but we'll def still get snow and a handful of banger storms
 
This means nothing to me. Always too volatile over an entire season, and I will be shredding regardless, so who cares.

God damn I want to ski right now.
 
Interesting to read about. I'm not going to jump totally on board with it, but the trends are there and I can respect where they are coming from. It's an educated guess and a hypothesis.

It woulod be great if it pans out like that though.
 
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