Wrote this in another thread about the snow here-
"We have had a high pressure system hanging over us for the better part
of a month. This is a La Nina year, and there is a good chance that by
the end of the season it will be average. In order for it to snow a lot
in Colorado the Pacific Ocean needs to cool a little more so that so
big storm cycles can churn out. It may take another month, but there is
a good chance that when it goes off it will DUMP. There is a chance for
snow this Sunday/Monday, so hopefully that system will just be strong
enough to disturb the ridge of high pressure and shift the jetstream to
Colorado. If not this one, than the next system.
Trust me, this year has been tough for us out here too, and hopefully
it will start to snow in the next couple weeks and then continue to
dump when you are out here."
An update since then- there have been strong storms moving into the PNW in the past week and more on the way. Right now, the jet stream (think of this as a highway for storms) is still too far north to bring the precip to Colorado, but it should shift in the next couple weeks. We need a strong enough low pressure system to shift the jet stream down to CO and then storms can get carried in from the Pacific. This year will probably not have as many SW flow storms coming up from Baja due to La Nina, so there is a good chance that SW Colorado will be below average. Northern Colorado (read Aspen/I70 resorts and up) are supposed to be average this year when all is said and done, meaning that there will hopefully be some good precipitation mid season to make up for the lack of snow so far. If we get a low pressure system over Colorado and the jet stream shifts, we could be looking at back to back to back to back etc storms rolling in mid season. Lets hope that happens.
And lets hope it snows enough next week to make the 10th mountain hut trip I'm going on the weekend after thanksgiving worth it.