China may be worst protectionist ever: U.S. analyst

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WASHINGTON (Reuters) -

China's massive intervention in currency markets could qualify it as the most

protectionist nation in history, a leading U.S. economist said on

Friday.

"China has intervened massively in the foreign exchange markets for at least

five years, buying at least $1 billion every day to keep the dollar strong and

its own renminbi weak," Fred Bergsten, president of the Peterson Institute for

International Economics, said in the text of a speech.

"This is by far the largest protectionist measure adopted by any country

since the Second World War -- and probably in all of history," Bergsten

said.

Bergsten estimated the China's renminbi, also known as the yuan, is currently

undervalued by at least 20 percent against the U.S. dollar as a result of

China's currency intervention.

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That "is the equivalent of a subsidy of 20 percent on all China's exports and

an additional tariff of 20 percent on all China's imports," Bergsten said.

Bergsten, who served in various White House and Treasury positions between

1969 and 1981, has long been a critic of China's exchange rate policies.

His latest broadside comes amid signs Beijing could let the yuan rise more

rapidly to contain inflation.

Meanwhile, U.S. government data on Thursday showed the bilateral trade

deficit with China grew nearly 12 percent in the first half of 2011 to $133.4

billion, which could stir Congress to act on currency concerns.

Bergsten again urged the U.S. Treasury Department to formally label China a

currency manipulator, something it has refused to do five times under President

Barack Obama.

Treasury's next semi-annual report on the foreign exchange trading practices

is due on Oct 15. Labeling China a currency manipulator would require the

department to launch negotiations with Beijing to remedy the situation.

Bergsten also suggested other U.S. policy responses, such as filing a case at

the World Trade Organization against China for currency manipulation and then

sharply limiting its access to the U.S. market if the case prevailed.

Or "we could initiate 'countervailing currency intervention,' buying Chinese

renminbi to offset the effect on our exchange rate of their massive purchases of

dollars," Bergsten said.

 
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