This season may be an early november opener! Check this out.

ride-rider

ride-rider

Active member
http://www.almanac.com/weather/longrange

Looks like washington is going to have a good year, and El Nino is going to be a good thing for us. Take a look at this. Looks like we might have a early november opener. Early-mid november looks promising. (remember that these forcasts are for low lying elevations like seattle, so the mountains are going ot be wayyyy colder. So all the rain and cool weather down there means, snow and cold weather up there.

OCTOBER 2009: temperature 55° (1° above avg.); precipitation 2" (1" below avg.); Oct 1-5: Rain, then sunny, warm; Oct 6-9: Rain, cool; Oct 10-16: Sunny, seasonable; Oct 17-21: Scattered showers, seasonable; Oct 22-28: Rainy periods, seasonable; Oct 29-31: Misty, cool.

NOVEMBER 2009: temperature 46.5° (0.5° below avg.); precipitation 7.5" (1" above avg.); Nov 1-5: Stormy, heavy rain, cool; Nov 6-14: Wet snow, then sunny, cold; Nov 15-18: Heavy rain, mild; Nov 19-21: Rain and snow, cold; Nov 22-24: Heavy rain, mild; Nov 25-30: Mist and showers, seasonable

Winter temperatures and precipitation will be near normal, on average,

with above-normal snowfall. The coldest periods will occur in early to

mid- and late December, mid-January, and early to mid-February, with

the snowiest periods in mid-December, early January, and mid-February.
 
Would be sick for sure... I'm sure people remember when Baker opened in early November a couple years ago with almost a 80in base for an epic start to that season. I would be more than happy to ski Stevens all November until Revy opens.
 
I predict that many days will be cloudy and many days will be rainy and there will be 2-3 days of partial sun/clouds. FLAWLESS PREDICTION~
 
Not really so. I mean obviously they can't predict what the weather is going to be like daily, or even weekly. However they can with (ok) accuracy, predict where the jet stream will be. Than if you can see where the water currents, and air flows north and west of us are, you can tell a lot more than you would expect.
 
haha, nevermind I looked up how they get their estimates. They don't even look at the jet stream and things like that. They try to pattern weather. Psshhh
 
Unfortumately, early openings/mid-november dumps sometimes = sucky overall year. That early snow will almost always melt (check your history books kids) and just prolong the amount of time we have to wait until we get lasting snow. But your right . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . EL NINO!!! Here in the PNW that's usually a good thing for snowfall. Also, my dad's friend is a meteorologist and he says PNW + SW Canada goes through 50 year temperature/precipitation winter time trends, and for the next 25ish years we'll be falling into a cold and wet spell (snow!). About 4 years ago (my ski hill in SE Washington didn't even open that year) was as bad as it gets, and hopefully we never have to live through that again. Pray for snow, and remember . . . . . . naked snow dances + burning $5 Goodwill skis = pleasing the snow gods.
 
You obviously have no memory of 2004-05 or 1997-98. Just throwing that out there. LA NINA is good for the PNW. EL NINO is good for Tahoe.

That said, the current El Nino isn't projected to last; it's not supposed to have a great effect on this winter's weather. Right now it'd be wise to expect average snowfall and average temperatures.
 
Everything about this thread is a fucking joke.

Long range forecasts? Good one.

And even if those forecasts held ANY sort of credibility, what in them makes you think this fall is going to produce any more snow than normal? It says average temperature is higher in October, and even when the average temp is predicted lower, its a HALF a degree cooler. WOOOOOOOOOO

I'm sure we'll be seeing a Seattle snowstorm in early november... The day to day forecasts are actually quite humorous. I'd bet money that their prediction's are less than 25% correct. I'm giving 25% because of sheer coincidence, and how vaguely they predict.

And you might want to check your facts on the effect El nino has had on the PNW.
 
Did you know that half a degree can mean the difference between a season of rain and no opening, and a season of wet snow/ tons of it. Did you also know that El Nino in the pnw can have two entirely different effects. It will either be warm ish, with a season of incredible snow fall. Or rain and a no opener. Did you know that the 04 05 season was an El Nino. It sucked. Did you also know that the season after which was pretty damn good, was also El Nino? Think before you speak son.
 
says who? I didn't know you were a meterologist.

Show me where a half degree means a season of no snow at all, and a season of heavy snow. And not just a coincidence. Show me proof that the it is in fact the cause of the correlation.

And I hope you don't want to have a year like 04-05, which was an extreme case of el nino. Just because the 05-06 season was decent doesn't mean it was directly contributed to El nino.

The point is, your making assumptions out the ass. You have no real "fact" other than statements of coincidence. People throw terms like El nino/La Nina like they are hardfast rules of absolute weather prediction, and thats not what there for. It's a term used to refer to irregular weather for a specific area. And in our case, that has proved very un-forcastable (word?) and irregular for our area.

son.

 
"Why ya'll gotta say "yo, son" after every sentence? I'm not your kid, I'm not your child, why I gotta be your son?"
 
average temp at baker is 32.25˚F instead of 31.75˚F I think you would notice a difference in snow pack.
and if you had gone to school instead of looking for trailer park vacancy, you could have had the opportunity to take a basic stats course where you would have learned that it is impossible to prove 'cause and effect' from a set of collected data, you can just show varying levels of correlation.
You don't exactly work for NOAA either.
Go back to yelling at squiggles, thats more entertaining.
 
Exactly what I was trying to get at. You could see a difference with that. Now imagine if the average temp was 34 degrees instead of 33.5. If it was 33.5 you would (most likely) recieve a lot of wet snow. It the temp was 34, you would generally recieve rain. As well as a no opener. I am by no means trying to say I am a meteorologist. But I was trying to say that El Nino can also be a good thing. It all just depends on average temps, and how the jet stream is hitting us.

Cool off, Dad.
 
not for snow, 32.25degrees F is still 32.25 degrees F, whether it is blowing 2mph or 100mph. What it does do is help your body give off heat faster by keeping your body in contact with the colder air, to absorb more heat.
 
you dick heads haven't even taken into account global warming, mountains probably won't even open this year because of that, son. Any average almanac temperatures will be increased by 2-5, maybe even up to 8 degrees due to harmful byproducts of industry and human existence causing an unnatural warming trend of the earths atmosphere. If I was invested in any big ski resort corporations I would get out ASAP. I would also not buy a seasons pass, way too risky these days.
 
just pray to the weather god everyone! tell him cold weather and snow are a good thing! and he can cry all he wants!
 

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