Do I think he'll "make it"? No. But everyone has a dream, and where theres a will, theres a way, If he keeps practicing maybe hell make something outta it depending on how serious it is.
Sounds like he had a relativly rough life, and the song wasnt that bad. There is a lot more bad rap on youtube. This is one of the better amateurs I have heard
He doesn't have any form of backup plan is the problem. A dream is a dream, he dropped out of highschool, and has been unemployed because he wants to persue this.