Mind=blown

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Basically if you don't switch your choice you only have the initial 1/3 chance of winning (3 doors you chose 1). 1-1/3=2/3 so there is a 2/3 chance you'll win if you switch
This assumes you initially chose door 1 for all of them:DOOR 1 DOOR 2 DOOR 3 SWITCH SAMEcar goat goat goat cargoat car goat car goatgoat goat car car goat
 
pretty much explained it for me

It may be easier to appreciate the solution by considering the same problem with 1,000,000 doors instead of just three (vos Savant 1990). In this case there are 999,999 doors with goats behind them and one door with a prize. The player picks a door. The game host then opens 999,998 of the other doors revealing 999,998 goats—imagine the host starting with the first door and going down a line of 1,000,000 doors, opening each one, skipping over only the player's door and one other door. The host then offers the player the chance to switch to the only other unopened door. On average, in 999,999 out of 1,000,000 times the other door will contain the prize, as 999,999 out of 1,000,000 times the player first picked a door with a goat. A rational player should switch. Intuitively speaking, the player should ask how likely is it, that given a million doors, he or she managed to pick the right one. The example can be used to show how the likelihood of success by switching is equal to (1 minus the likelihood of picking correctly the first time) for any given number of doors. It is important to remember, however, that this is based on the assumption that the host knows where the prize is and must not open a door that contains that prize, randomly selecting which other door to leave closed if the contestant manages to select the prize door initially.

This example can also be used to illustrate the opposite situation in which the host does not know where the prize is and opens doors randomly. There is a 999,999/1,000,000 probability that the contestant selects wrong initially, and the prize is behind one of the other doors. If the host goes about randomly opening doors not knowing where the prize is, the probability is likely that the host will reveal the prize before two doors are left (the contestant's choice and one other) to switch between.

this shows why everyone on deal or no deal are fuckign idiots
 
that makes sense but i just dont quite get it with only 2 doors. it seems like the car is just as likely to be behind your original choice as the other unopened door
 
Same concept. It's because there was a 2/3 chance that you picked a goat in the first place. Taking a goat away doesn't change this.
 
I'm pretty sure they would just associate words with visual images in their head. there is no way for them to know what the language that they read sounds like
 
who knows man. maybe they can :P

because to say the opposite would be saying there are zero "sounds" in their thoughts. which is highly doubtful.
 
completely agree. but try to think without sounds. or words for that matter what comes up? images right. well when deaf ppl learn a language, ie: learn to read lips, write and read. they would be picturing the word in their head. But see the mind is crazy enough that it will make up its own sounds and interpret it in its own way. probably completely different but thats not the point.

disclaimer : had a three hour philosophy class 2 days ago on exactly this. i could go on forever discussing it :P

and funny thing is i bitched and moaned about how fucking stupid the class was. not so useless after all haha
 
one of my friends went deaf in the span of about 2 weeks. He obviously still thinks in sound, and dreams in sound too. He knows that whenever he can hear, he's dreaming, so he lucidly dreams all the time. But what sucks is now there's no unpredictability in the dream content, because he applies logic and real-world concepts to the dream, so they just become like a real-world experience, but he can hear.

Somewhat related, how would you explain sound to a deaf person or sight to a blind person? They probably experience it in dreams, but may have no idea what it is....
 
Someone born deaf has no comprehension of sound. They can't think or dream in sound because it has never been experienced. The brain might make up sights, smells, tastes or feelings to associate with language, but never a sound.
 
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